Archives for the month of: November, 2015


The online petition goes to Texas. I suggest taking a moment to make the request of your own Representative and both Senators, here in the States.

Watts Up With That?

More Research Finds Polar Bears’ Condition Unaffected by Reduced Summer Sea Ice.

Guest essay by Jim Steele

Director emeritus Sierra Nevada Field Campus, San Francisco State University and author of Landscapes & Cycles: An Environmentalist’s Journey to Climate Skepticism

Reasons to Petition Congress to Investigate USGS’ Dubious Polar Bear Claims

Sign Petition Here:

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Although the Inuit steadfastly claim it is “the time of the most polar bears”, the most recent IUCN polar bear assessment predicts a 30% drop in the global polar bear population by mid‑century by assuming a linear correlation between summer sea ice melt and polar bear survival. They suggest bears “require sea ice to hunt” and thus predict less sea ice will prevent access to their preferred prey.

However, polar bear ecology and observations contradict that simplistic assertion. As listed below the current alarming predictions are due to extremely biased models and critical sins…

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Humans always prove to be human.

Watts Up With That?

Stanford researchers uncover patterns in how scientists lie about their data

When scientists falsify data, they try to cover it up by writing differently in their published works. A pair of Stanford researchers have devised a way of identifying these written clues.

white-coated doctor with hands behind his back; one hand has fingers crossed in gesture indicating he's lying Andrey Popov/Shutterstock

Stanford communication scholars have devised an ‘obfuscation index’ that can help catch falsified scientific research before it is published.

Even the best poker players have “tells” that give away when they’re bluffing with a weak hand. Scientists who commit fraud have similar, but even more subtle, tells, and a pair of Stanford researchers have cracked the writing patterns of scientists who attempt to pass along falsified data.

The work, published in the Journal of Language and Social Psychology, could eventually help scientists identify falsified research before it is published.

There is a fair amount of research dedicated to…

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Bonny Prince Charlie wasn’t born yet, but it sure sounds like something he had a hand in.

Watts Up With That?

For those who don’t know: Godwins law Via the GWPF and the department of “global warming causes everything” comes this blast from the past. It sounds just about as ridiculous as some of the claims being made today trying to link the Syrian war to climate change.

“Increasing warmer temperatures may produce a trend toward dictatorial governments”

hitler-globalwarming
Increasing warmer temperatures throughout the world may produce a trend toward dictatorial governments in the opinion of Dr Clarence A Mills, professor of experimental medicine at the University of Cincinnati. In fact, Dr Mills believes that the rise to power of Adolf Hitler in Germany and Benito Mussolini in Italy may be due in part to the gradual warming temperature of the world. —The Mason City Globe-Gazette, 27 March 1941

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Pretending to measure surface temperature at better than about ±1.5°C is simply laughable.

Watts Up With That?

I had to share this “laugh out loud” moment from Bishop Hill and the photo of this weather station. Andrew Montford writes:

Settled science

Much amusement is to be had from a posting at a blog called Sudden Oak Life. The author has recorded images of the Radcliffe surface temperature station in Oxford, part of the Central England Temperature Record and one of the longest temperature records there is.

It’s fair to say the quality of the record has declined since the 18th century.

radcliffe-weather-station-a

That red thing with the hose and the exhaust stack is a space heater for the tent. Note the Stevenson Screen to the right and the automated weather station to the left. Note also that the station is boxed in pretty well with trees and infrastructure, and now we have this heated tent.

Located at the college is Radcliffe Observatory, home of the Radcliffe meteorological station…

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Presumably the bonny prince has never read the Bible to know that severe and sustained droughts have always been common in the region.

I pray with the British that the Queen lives long.

Watts Up With That?

Prince Charles, public domain image, source Wikimedia Prince Charles, public domain image, source Wikimedia

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

Prince Charles, heir to the British throne, has stepped in the climate issue again, by suggesting that climate change in Syria is the root cause of their barbarous civil war.

According to Charles;

“And, in fact, there’s very good evidence indeed that one of the major reasons for this horror in Syria, funnily enough was a drought that lasted for about five or six years, which meant that huge numbers of people in the end had to leave the land.” Asked if there was a direct link between climate change, conflict and terrorism, he added: “It’s only in the last few years that the Pentagon have actually started to pay attention to this. I mean it has a huge impact on what is happening.

“I mean the difficulty is sometimes to get this point across —…

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Simple, but involved. You’ll know more if you read. A bit of wisdom for the taking.

As the IPCC says, we can predict nothing of the future with regard to climate.

Watts Up With That?

Guest Essay by Kip Hansen

intro_bifurct“…we should recognise that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.”

– IPCC TAR Chap 14, Exec Summary

 

 

Introduction:

The IPCC has long recognized that the Earth’s climate system is a coupled non-linear chaotic system.   Unfortunately, few of those dealing in climate science – professional and citizen scientists alike – seem to grasp the full implications of this. It is not an easy topic – not a topic on which one can read a quick primer and then dive into real world applications.   This essay is the second in a short series of essays to clarify the possible relationships between Climate and Chaos. This is not a highly technical discussion, but a basic introduction to the subject to shed some light on just what the IPCC might mean…

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No one considers a floating bit of dust in the air to be evil.

We may consider bits of vegetation and grains of sand blowing in our faces in a strong wind to be nuisance, perhaps even painful under some conditions, but certainly none of us would call it evil. The necessity of raising a hand to the wind and squinting to keep the tiny wind-hurled projectiles out of the eyes is simply part of the great outdoors on a windy day.

When a pebble is freed from its location by weathering, no one thinks of it.

When a bit of cliff debris falls, no one even notices, unless he happens to be standing near enough.

Likewise when a boulder, precariously perched, finally gives way, it is hardly worth our note, unless the protrusion had been widely remarked upon.

Still, no one would call it immoral, evil.

These are all simply natural. This is how our world works. Aging happens. Stresses build and relive. Disequilibria builds, and dissipates, sometimes imperceptibly, sometimes dramatically, sometimes in self-organizing, emergent systems or phenomena that live, figuratively, and even literally.

None of this is evil.

Nature concentrates energy, and some systems use that energy in interesting, even creative ways.

Nature pours down radiant energy on the earth, and green plants use it to build. Herbivores and other creatures use that energy to build. Those, in turn, are used by other creatures in some way to build in another way.

Passive recipient, parasite, herbivore, carnivore, omnivore, et al. These are simply nature using resources to build. We may see destruction involved. We may see it as gruesome, bloody, distasteful, and worse, but it is all of a piece. All of it is simply nature. It is not inherently bad. It is not evil.

Why is it that some want to call certain spectacular workings of nature evil?

Earthquakes are not evil. Earthquakes are part of the natural processes described above.

If an earthquake happens to cause death and destruction, well, that is only the way of nature.

We consider it tragic, especially when many souls are lost, but it is not evil. It is not something someone, some agent, did. It was not intentioned, nor was it negligent. There was an imbalance, a buildup, and subsequent release.

Some ask why God didn’t stop the earthquake that killed millions, but no one asks why God didn’t stop that grain of sand from sticking in your eyebrow. There is no difference in the grand scheme. Both were simply nature redistributing matter and energy to alleviate imbalance.

The difference comes in agency.

We humans, we are free moral agents.

While there is nothing bad or evil about pain, suffering, and deprivation in themselves, it is bad, it is truly evil, when one person chooses to inflict pain and cause suffering and institute deprivation.

Coercion is evil.

I want to emphasize that. Coercion is evil.

 


Bjorn Lomborg is a believer in global warming, he just thinks it is a very low-priority problem. Fighting global warming harms people in the real world.

Me? I say cold kills. Warmer is better.

Watts Up With That?

Current climate policy promises will do little to stabilize the climate and their impact will be undetectable for many decades. Paris COP21 commitments [by the EU] will reduce temperatures by just 0.05°C in 2100

Bjorn Lomborg wrote to tell me yesterday about a new paper he has published in the Global Policy journal, titled: Impact of Current Climate Proposals. It shows the futility of the COP21 meeting which is essentially going to be “sound and fury, signifying nothing”.

Abstract:

This article investigates the temperature reduction impact of major climate policy proposals implemented by 2030, using the standard MAGICC climate model. Even optimistically assuming that promised emission cuts are maintained throughout the century, the impacts are generally small. The impact of the US Clean Power Plan (USCPP) is a reduction in temperature rise by 0.013°C by 2100. The full US promise for the COP21 climate conference in Paris, its so-called…

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But didn’t that tell us that global warming causes it to get colder too?

Watts Up With That?

A brutal cold spell could kill refugees. Paris COP21 delegates need to discuss this climate issue.

syrian-refugees-cold A youngster braces against the cold at a camp for Syrian refugees in Lebanon’s Bekaa Valley after the first winter snows fell in 2013. photo: Reuters

Guest essay by Paul Driessen and Joe D’Aleo

Even after the latest Paris massacres – and previous radical Islamist atrocities in the USA, France, Britain, Canada, Spain, India, Iraq, Syria, Nigeria and elsewhere – politicians absurdly say hypothetical manmade global warming is the greatest threat facing humanity. In reality, fossil fuel contributions to climate change pose few dangers to people or planet, and winters kill 20 times more people than hot weather.

After being assured snowy winters would soon be something only read about in history books, Europe was shaken by five brutally cold winters this past decade. Thousands died, because they were homeless, lived in drafty homes…

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Watts Up With That?

New Disclosures Help Pull Back Curtain on Who’s Funding Manufactured Climate Investigation

by Steve Everley
energyindepth.org , Dallas, Tex.

A letter reportedly being circulated among a handful of Democrats this week in the U.S. House of Representatives, calling for an investigation into energy companies’ opinions on climate change, references news reports that the letter’s authors characterize as independent journalism. But according to online records, the reports were actually financed by large foundations that oppose oil and natural gas development.

Fewer than two dozen Democratic members of the U.S. House have signed on to a letter circulated by Rep. Ted Lieu (D-Calif.), which cites “investigations by the Los Angeles Times and InsideClimate News” that accused at least one U.S. oil and natural gas company of “financing efforts to amplify doubt about the state of climate science.” Congressman Lieu’s office says it will send the letter “in a few weeks

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I enjoy Josh’s cartoons.

Watts Up With That?

There’s a famous cartoon by XKCD titled “Duty calls“, where someone is obsessing over something they’ve seen “wrong on the Internet”.  This Josh cartoon is a bit like that, in that much of the perceived “wrongness” of global warming, aka “climate change”, is seen only through the eyes of activists on the Internet reading the latest doomsday scenario from Climate Progress, Huffington Post, The Guardian, and a whole host of other alarmist media outlets.

It’s a virtual online maelstrom of badness, all timed for Paris COP21 as recent news items reveal.

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Lest you think this is a joke, you can see just how many things have been claimed to be the fault of global warming, aka “climate change” by reading John Brignell’s Numberwatch warm list.

Truly, there’s not a facet of life or the planet untouched.

Image by Josh www.cartoonsbyjosh.com

UPDATE: Alan Watt notes this footnote added to…

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Good points.

Watts Up With That?

Guest opinion: Dr. Tim Ball

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2001 Report claimed that neither the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) nor the Little Ice Age (LIA) occurred. They created the ‘hockey stick’ graph to prove their point. It wasn’t produced specifically to eliminate those climate periods but to show that today was warmer than “ever” before and that most of the increase occurred in the 20th century. Their nemesis was a graph presented in the 1990 Report (Figure1).

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Figure 1: Graph 7c from the 1990 IPCC Report

The dotted line on the graph is the average temperature of the Northern Hemisphere for the last 1000 years. The ‘hockey stick’ allowed them to claim the 20th century as anomalous. They had to eliminate the natural temperature increase from the nadir of the LIA in 1680. They also rejected historical evidence of the events, but the facts don’t…

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To oppose facts and scientific discovery with presumptions about scripture is simply foolish.

Musings on Science and Theology

gal_earth_moon ds3The next chapter of Kyle Greenwood’s new book Scripture and Cosmology: Reading the Bible Between the Ancient World and Modern Science looks at Christian responses to the Copernican revolution. Most of us today see no theological problem with the idea that the earth both orbits the sun and spins on its axis. Copernicus, Kepler, Galileo, and finally Newton put together a convincing argument, beginning with observation and mathematics and ultimately the theory of gravity and mechanics whereby the less massive objects orbit the more massive objects (more accurately a system of objects revolves around its center of mass).

As time has passed our human view of cosmology has become more sophisticated, moving from (2) an empirical understanding of flat earth with a roof overhead to (2) a spherical earth with heavens revolving around, to (3) a heliocentric model with the earth, planets and stars orbiting the sun, and now (4)…

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Jesus said, “You will be hearing of wars and acts of terrorism. Be alarmed? NO! Such things are normal, not the end of the world.”

http://biblehub.com/matthew/24-6.htm

The angel said, “Be not alarmed!  You seek Jesus, the Nazarene, the crucified one. He is risen!”

http://biblehub.com/mark/16-6.htm

Note, Mark wrote that to end in awe. Within a few years, others added. Mark left it at the low point. I think he expected people to find the risen savior and understand the joy of Easter inwardly, rather than in writing.

The ladies entered the tomb, and they saw a young man sitting on the right side, dressed in a white robe, and they were alarmed. 6And he said to them, “Do not be alarmed. You seek Jesus of Nazareth, who was crucified. He has risen; he is not here. See the place where they laid him. 7But go, tell his disciples and Peter that he is going before you to Galilee. There you will see him, just as he told you.” 8And they went out and fled from the tomb, for trembling and astonishment had seized them, and they said nothing to anyone, for they were afraid.

They were afraid.

At least a dozen times, Jesus told us not to be afraid. “Fear not! Only believe.”
http://biblehub.com/search/luke/8-50.htm

There are problems to address with immigration into our country. There are big problems with ignoring our own laws.

There are no reasons to fear immigrants!

We need to improve our laws and reopen our country. We need to have faith in our fellowman. No man is an island.
http://www.poemhunter.com/poem/no-man-is-an-island/
No man is an island,
Entire of itself,
Every man is a piece of the continent,
A part of the main.
If a clod be washed away by the sea,
Europe is the less.
As well as if a promontory were.
As well as if a manor of thy friend’s
Or of thine own were:
Any man’s death diminishes me,
Because I am involved in mankind,
And therefore never send to know for whom the bell tolls;
It tolls for thee.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Devotions_upon_Emergent_Occasions

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