Archives for the month of: April, 2017


Well worth the time and effort to read and understand.

Watts Up With That?

Guest essay by Clyde Spencer 2017


I recently had a guest editorial published here on the topic of data error and precision. If you missed it, I suggest that you read it before continuing with this article. This will then make more sense. And, I won’t feel the need to go back over the fundamentals. What follows is, in part, prompted by some of the comments to the original article. This is a discussion of how the reported, average global temperatures should be interpreted.


Averages can serve several purposes. A common one is to increase accuracy and precision of the determination of some fixed property, such as a physical dimension. This is accomplished by confining all the random error to the process of measurement. Under appropriate circumstances, such as determining the diameter of a ball bearing with a micrometer, multiple readings can provide a more precise average diameter…

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Good references.

Watts Up With That?

By Neil Lock

Thirty years ago, in April 1987, a new United Nations report was published. It came from the recently established World Commission on Environment and Development, and its title was Our Common Future. It was 300 pages long; and its preparation, which took two and a half years, had involved 23 commissioners and 70 or so experts and support staff. In addition, they solicited inputs from people and organizations, in many different countries, who had concerns about environmental and development issues. You can find the full text of the report at [[1]].

Today, most people seem unaware of this report. That’s a pity. For this is the document, which set in motion the green political juggernaut that has had such a huge, adverse effect on the lives of all good people in the Western world. The 30th anniversary is, I think, a good time…

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I’m with Pruitt.

Watts Up With That?

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

h/t Breitbart – President Trump’s EPA Head Scott Pruitt has given unequivocal support to cancelling US participation in the Paris agreement.

EPA Chief Scott Pruitt Calls for ‘Exit’ of Paris Climate Agreement

by BEN KEW 14 Apr 20174273

The head of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Scott Pruitt, has called for America to “exit” the Paris Climate Agreement signed by Barack Obama last November.

In an interview with FOX and Friends, Pruitt said that “Paris [agreement] is something that we need to really look at closely. It’s something we need to exit in my opinion.

“It’s a bad deal for America,” he continued. “It was an America second, third, or fourth kind of approach. China and India had no obligations under the agreement until 2030. We front-loaded all of our costs.”

On Thursday, Energy Secretary Rick Perry confirmed that his department is conducting…

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Of course, not all blogs are equal. Caveat emptor. WUWT is about as close to a gold standard one might find.

Watts Up With That?

Dr. Judith Curry tips me to this interesting blog post from by Daniel Lakens, an experimental psychologist at the Human-Technology Interaction group at Eindhoven University of Technology, The Netherlands.

The 20% Statistician

A blog on statistics, methods, and open science. Understanding 20% of statistics will improve 80% of your inferences.

Five reasons blog posts are of higher scientific quality than journal articles

The Dutch toilet cleaner ‘WC-EEND’ (literally: ‘Toilet Duck’) aired a famous commercial in 1989 that had the slogan ‘We from WC-EEND advise… WC-EEND’. It is now a common saying in The Netherlands whenever someone gives an opinion that is clearly aligned with their self-interest. In this blog, I will examine the hypothesis that blogs are, on average, of higher quality than journal articles. Below, I present 5 arguments in favor of this hypothesis.

  1. Blogs have Open Data, Code, and Materials [when technical articles are published, yes, whenever possible]

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Ultimately, this incident is an example of the haves lording over the have-nots. The elites of the airline ordered the guys with the guns to enforce their privilege. I don’t see regulation and more government control as the answer. I do see respect for private property, private contracts (which the airline violated), and respect and honor for every individual as essential. If our police do more than protect the little guy, bully airlines and beaten plebeians are all we can expect.

Stand up for individual rights and liberty.

Fabius Maximus website

Summary: Yesterday’s incident at United reveals much about the changes happening to America. First, let’s sort through the stories to see what really happened. Then let’s skip the cheap hand-waving and draw conclusions that can help us understand events and so begin to retake control of this nation.

The Friendly Skies of United Airlines

The New York Times tells the story, somewhat incoherently. United Express loaded a plane with passengers. Then four employees arrived, needed seats. United was unwilling to offer sufficient money to induce passengers to leave, and so ordered four to leave the craft. Three left, but a doctor refused — saying he had to be in Louisville to treat patients. United officials decided to call the Department of Aviation police (not the airline’s security) to remove him.

The man was sitting in a window seat. Officers grabbed his arms, dragged him screaming across the armrests and along the floor  — unconscious — off the aircraft. Later the passenger…

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And we call this science? We call it medicine?

It truly is hard to see the truth when your livelihood depends on not seeing it. Thus, checks and balances, replication and scrutiny, even adversarial debate and open challenge. It is unbelievably easy to fool ones self. Take pains to double check and seek out review, especially form reputable experts of differing views.

For most things it all matters little, but sometimes, consequences are grave. Be faithful in the little things, so you are strong when great things try you.

Big Picture News, Informed Analysis

Whether it’s climate science or medical science, a fake crisis leads to bad decisions that harm real people.

US-News-and-World-Report-February-15-1999-Weight-Loss-Wars_pdf 2Mary Linnen. Photo appeared in this 1999 news story. Reproduced here in a fair use context.

Athletic Mary Linnen had been on the swim team in high school, and on the tennis team in college. At age 29, wanting to slim down prior to her wedding, her doctor prescribed Fen-phen, a combination of two diet pills (fenfluramine and phentermine) approved by the US government 14 years apart.

The Boston, Massachusetts woman stopped taking the appetite-suppressing drugs after 23 days, due to breathing problems. Six months later she was told she had a fatal lung disease, might survive as long as four years, and that having children was out of the question.

Mary spent the remainder of her life with a tube running from a portable pump into her chest, at constant risk of…

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Sadly, Scott Adams is mostly correct when he says facts don’t matter. Of course, for those committed to facts, those determined to not stay wrong, those willing to be corrected no matter how painful, for them facts do matter, and these are verifiable facts indeed.

The Rugged Individualist

Global Warming: It is a hoax. It is bad science. It is high jacking public policy. It is the greatest scam in history.

John Coleman (Co-Founder of The Weather Channel)

It is easier to believe a lie one has heard a thousand times than to believe a fact that no one has heard before.


Facts are stubborn things, but statistics are more pliable.

Laurence J. Peter

Facts are facts and will not disappear on account of your likes.

Jawaharial Nehru

We want the facts to fit the preconceptions. When they don’t, it is easier to ignore the facts than to change the preconceptions.

Jessamyn West

I have posted many times about Global Warming and said that I am not a believer. When it comes to global warming, every “fact” seems to have a “counter-fact.” Having been a scientist for 40 years, I know that this is not true. As…

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Watts Up With That?

Guest Opinion: Dr. Tim Ball

“You can have brilliant ideas, but if you can’t get them across, your ideas won’t get you anywhere.” Lee Iacocca

In his essay, “Reflections on Mark Steyn’s ‘A Disgrace to the Profession’ about Dr. Michael Mann” Rick Wallace wrote,

Tim Ball, Fred Singer and others have been countering the AGW meme for a few decades, but to little avail.

He is correct. Yes, there is a slight increase in the number of skeptics as evidenced by the increased readership at WUWT, but it is a fraction of even total Internet users. Even those who read and comment on WUWT articles on the site often say they are not scientists or don’t fully understand the topic. Others demonstrate their lack of knowledge and understanding without the caveats.

Wallace continues,

But why is this? Why haven’t their voices carried? And, conversely, why was The Team so successful…

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I think this one worth duplicating.

Watts Up With That?

Brought to You by SEPP (

The Science and Environmental Policy Project

THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President

Science or Dogma: In the 30 years between the 1979 Charney report to the National Academy of Sciences on an investigation of the possible effects of increased carbon dioxide on the earth’s temperatures to the 2009 EPA’s finding that carbon dioxide, and other greenhouse gases, endanger human health and welfare; government-funded Climate Studies have largely turned from empirical science to dogma – a belief system unsubstantiated by physical evidence.

The Charney report included some of the nation’s best meteorologists and climate researchers and the report recognized that laboratory tests demonstrated that the direct influence on global temperatures from doubling carbon dioxide would be minor – possibly unmeasurable.

The report also identified educated guesses – estimates – that the CO2 influence might be greatly enhanced by increases in water vapor –…

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