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If you wish to act, act now.

Watts Up With That?

Guest essay by Leo Goldstein

I would like to bring to the attention of American readers that they can submit comments on the EPA regulations in accordance with Executive Order 13777, “Enforcing the Regulatory Reform Agenda,” signed by President Trump on February 24, 2017. The deadline for submission is May 15, so we have only three full days. H/t John Droz, Jr..

Comments can be as short as one line or as long as the regulations.gov site allows. You can also include audio or video attachments, although only the written comments will be considered an official statement. Off the top of my mind, I can recommend NIPCC Summaries, many articles by Prof. Richard Lindzen, as well as various materials from this outstanding resource, WattsUpWithThat. If a web page cannot be adequately saved as a PDF file, its content can be copied to Word then saved…

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It is important to remember that the question we are answering is how. The important question, why, is beyond science in the the ultimate sense, as well as the fundamental sense. How is fascinating. Investigating how is simply following the great commandment to love the creator with all our mind. We user our mind to investigate the creation, thereby loving the creator.

It is all too big for us. Much too much.

Trust.

Micah 6:8

Musings on Science and Theology

At the first public BioLogos Conference in the summer of 2015, Prof. Ard Louis, a professor of theoretical physics at Oxford gave an outstanding talk “Randomness and Other Metaphors in the Theory of Evolution.” The lecture is available on YouTube (see below). I’ve held off on posting about it because the lecture runs 46 minutes, while clips of even 7 or 8 minutes tend to exceed the attention span of most readers. However, I just came across the video and watched it again. It is well worth the time, presented with humour and a number of excellent visuals (including videos). I’ve had the opportunity to meet and talk with Ard on several occasions. He is equally at home discussing science or Christian faith and takes both very seriously. A number of concepts he touches on in this talk are ones that my group, or those of my colleagues…

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Yes, government is most of our problems.

Regulation is killing some of us directly, and it is killing our entire society.

Regie's Blog

Before reading any further, hold your breath for ten seconds …

It’s estimated that I have over ten thousand regular readers. So, if all my readers held their breath for ten seconds, we just conserved a hundred thousand seconds of air. That’s over a minute of extra air for over sixteen hundred people. See how easy it is to make a difference? You’re welcome, world.

Did that make ANY sense to you whatsoever? No …me neither. I’m pretty sure we can’t run out of air. We can make it dirty, true enough. But we can’t run out of it. More on this later …

We had the old Maytag for twenty-one years. It had only been serviced ONCE in that time. It was a good, sturdy machine. But finally, its motor gave up the ghost on a Saturday night. It was going to be $400 to fix it or just…

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Good reminder that we must always guard against fooling ourselves because we are the easiest to fool.

An oldie, but a goodie:

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Agreed.

Climate Etc.

by Judith Curry

The scary emergence of Nye’s Quadrant in dominating the public discourse on climate change.

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Yep.

Regie's Blog

I’ve always felt that the best way to win an argument is to be right and let the other side talk.

If you’re truly right, they will eventually talk themselves into a corner and get engulfed in their own frustration. And you won’t have to say that many words. The world will know. But in order to have that kind of a debate, everyone must be allowed to speak their mind openly and freely. For my money, the first amendment is the most important one for just that reason. Maybe that’s why it’s the FIRST one.

There aren’t many things I will march for. I wouldn’t march with Promise Keepers or Tea Partiers or Occupiers or women or men or …well …anyone. I don’t march. It just never looks like a good time to me. I don’t know if it ever solves anything and it just always feels like a…

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Well worth the time and effort to read and understand.

Watts Up With That?

Guest essay by Clyde Spencer 2017

Introduction

I recently had a guest editorial published here on the topic of data error and precision. If you missed it, I suggest that you read it before continuing with this article. This will then make more sense. And, I won’t feel the need to go back over the fundamentals. What follows is, in part, prompted by some of the comments to the original article. This is a discussion of how the reported, average global temperatures should be interpreted.

Averages

Averages can serve several purposes. A common one is to increase accuracy and precision of the determination of some fixed property, such as a physical dimension. This is accomplished by confining all the random error to the process of measurement. Under appropriate circumstances, such as determining the diameter of a ball bearing with a micrometer, multiple readings can provide a more precise average diameter…

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Good references.

Watts Up With That?

By Neil Lock

Thirty years ago, in April 1987, a new United Nations report was published. It came from the recently established World Commission on Environment and Development, and its title was Our Common Future. It was 300 pages long; and its preparation, which took two and a half years, had involved 23 commissioners and 70 or so experts and support staff. In addition, they solicited inputs from people and organizations, in many different countries, who had concerns about environmental and development issues. You can find the full text of the report at [[1]].

Today, most people seem unaware of this report. That’s a pity. For this is the document, which set in motion the green political juggernaut that has had such a huge, adverse effect on the lives of all good people in the Western world. The 30th anniversary is, I think, a good time…

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I’m with Pruitt.

Watts Up With That?

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

h/t Breitbart – President Trump’s EPA Head Scott Pruitt has given unequivocal support to cancelling US participation in the Paris agreement.

EPA Chief Scott Pruitt Calls for ‘Exit’ of Paris Climate Agreement

by BEN KEW 14 Apr 20174273

The head of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Scott Pruitt, has called for America to “exit” the Paris Climate Agreement signed by Barack Obama last November.

In an interview with FOX and Friends, Pruitt said that “Paris [agreement] is something that we need to really look at closely. It’s something we need to exit in my opinion.

“It’s a bad deal for America,” he continued. “It was an America second, third, or fourth kind of approach. China and India had no obligations under the agreement until 2030. We front-loaded all of our costs.”

On Thursday, Energy Secretary Rick Perry confirmed that his department is conducting…

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Of course, not all blogs are equal. Caveat emptor. WUWT is about as close to a gold standard one might find.

Watts Up With That?

Dr. Judith Curry tips me to this interesting blog post from by Daniel Lakens, an experimental psychologist at the Human-Technology Interaction group at Eindhoven University of Technology, The Netherlands.

The 20% Statistician

A blog on statistics, methods, and open science. Understanding 20% of statistics will improve 80% of your inferences.


Five reasons blog posts are of higher scientific quality than journal articles

The Dutch toilet cleaner ‘WC-EEND’ (literally: ‘Toilet Duck’) aired a famous commercial in 1989 that had the slogan ‘We from WC-EEND advise… WC-EEND’. It is now a common saying in The Netherlands whenever someone gives an opinion that is clearly aligned with their self-interest. In this blog, I will examine the hypothesis that blogs are, on average, of higher quality than journal articles. Below, I present 5 arguments in favor of this hypothesis.

  1. Blogs have Open Data, Code, and Materials [when technical articles are published, yes, whenever possible]

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Regie's Blog

Cliches. They’re a dime a dozen (see what I did there?).

And there is no place steeped in cliches more than the Christian faith.

I’ve been around the Church all my life. And I’ve heard phrases that made no sense to me whatsoever, millions of times. In fact, faith itself often doesn’t make any sense to me. I’m just being honest.

I have no idea what it means to “let go and let God.” I’ve never felt Jesus “touch” me and I’ve never heard the voice of God …that I know of. I never feel any “invisible arms” around me. I am routinely given more than I can bear (even though the bible is adamant that this won’t happen). Putting my “trust” in Jesus has often felt like giving up and watching TV when I should be doing something.

And honestly (and this is going to get some people upset…

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Ultimately, this incident is an example of the haves lording over the have-nots. The elites of the airline ordered the guys with the guns to enforce their privilege. I don’t see regulation and more government control as the answer. I do see respect for private property, private contracts (which the airline violated), and respect and honor for every individual as essential. If our police do more than protect the little guy, bully airlines and beaten plebeians are all we can expect.

Stand up for individual rights and liberty.

Fabius Maximus website

Summary: Yesterday’s incident at United reveals much about the changes happening to America. First, let’s sort through the stories to see what really happened. Then let’s skip the cheap hand-waving and draw conclusions that can help us understand events and so begin to retake control of this nation.

The Friendly Skies of United Airlines

The New York Times tells the story, somewhat incoherently. United Express loaded a plane with passengers. Then four employees arrived, needed seats. United was unwilling to offer sufficient money to induce passengers to leave, and so ordered four to leave the craft. Three left, but a doctor refused — saying he had to be in Louisville to treat patients. United officials decided to call the Department of Aviation police (not the airline’s security) to remove him.

The man was sitting in a window seat. Officers grabbed his arms, dragged him screaming across the armrests and along the floor  — unconscious — off the aircraft. Later the passenger…

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And we call this science? We call it medicine?

It truly is hard to see the truth when your livelihood depends on not seeing it. Thus, checks and balances, replication and scrutiny, even adversarial debate and open challenge. It is unbelievably easy to fool ones self. Take pains to double check and seek out review, especially form reputable experts of differing views.

For most things it all matters little, but sometimes, consequences are grave. Be faithful in the little things, so you are strong when great things try you.

Big Picture News, Informed Analysis

Whether it’s climate science or medical science, a fake crisis leads to bad decisions that harm real people.

US-News-and-World-Report-February-15-1999-Weight-Loss-Wars_pdf 2Mary Linnen. Photo appeared in this 1999 news story. Reproduced here in a fair use context.

Athletic Mary Linnen had been on the swim team in high school, and on the tennis team in college. At age 29, wanting to slim down prior to her wedding, her doctor prescribed Fen-phen, a combination of two diet pills (fenfluramine and phentermine) approved by the US government 14 years apart.

The Boston, Massachusetts woman stopped taking the appetite-suppressing drugs after 23 days, due to breathing problems. Six months later she was told she had a fatal lung disease, might survive as long as four years, and that having children was out of the question.

Mary spent the remainder of her life with a tube running from a portable pump into her chest, at constant risk of…

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Sadly, Scott Adams is mostly correct when he says facts don’t matter. Of course, for those committed to facts, those determined to not stay wrong, those willing to be corrected no matter how painful, for them facts do matter, and these are verifiable facts indeed.

The Rugged Individualist

Global Warming: It is a hoax. It is bad science. It is high jacking public policy. It is the greatest scam in history.

John Coleman (Co-Founder of The Weather Channel)

It is easier to believe a lie one has heard a thousand times than to believe a fact that no one has heard before.

Anonymous

Facts are stubborn things, but statistics are more pliable.

Laurence J. Peter

Facts are facts and will not disappear on account of your likes.

Jawaharial Nehru

We want the facts to fit the preconceptions. When they don’t, it is easier to ignore the facts than to change the preconceptions.

Jessamyn West

I have posted many times about Global Warming and said that I am not a believer. When it comes to global warming, every “fact” seems to have a “counter-fact.” Having been a scientist for 40 years, I know that this is not true. As…

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